Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.143737 0.171605 0.202975 0.240836 0.285223 0.335541 0.396836
2025-04-20 0.105497 0.141897 0.187511 0.248579 0.327870 0.426982 0.559858
2025-04-27 0.089292 0.131148 0.187887 0.269770 0.384140 0.537308 0.756880
2025-05-04 0.075464 0.119333 0.182826 0.280323 0.424884 0.629625 0.939381
2025-05-11 0.062005 0.104801 0.170491 0.277086 0.443696 0.691516 1.084445
2025-05-18 0.050256 0.090374 0.155393 0.266393 0.448439 0.731514 1.199711
2025-05-25 0.040691 0.077583 0.140510 0.253153 0.446325 0.759247 1.297250
2025-06-01 0.035980 0.072270 0.137038 0.257921 0.473486 0.835350 1.478735
2025-06-08 0.030162 0.063831 0.126696 0.248990 0.475640 0.869647 1.593532
2025-06-15 0.027221 0.060367 0.124802 0.254846 0.504203 0.951211 1.796384
2025-06-22 0.024260 0.056319 0.121137 0.256701 0.525321 1.021280 1.985112
2025-06-29 0.021140 0.051370 0.114923 0.252610 0.534397 1.069933 2.138966
2025-07-06 0.018336 0.046765 0.109048 0.249080 0.545520 1.126129 2.317845
2025-07-13 0.016815 0.044860 0.108688 0.257176 0.581411 1.234150 2.608253
2025-07-20 0.016441 0.045638 0.114353 0.279060 0.648551 1.410358 3.049575
2025-07-27 0.015329 0.044353 0.115084 0.289952 0.693321 1.545631 3.421230
2025-08-03 0.013502 0.040837 0.109975 0.286612 0.706236 1.616089 3.666061
2025-08-10 0.011525 0.036499 0.102132 0.275574 0.700209 1.645480 3.826858
2025-08-17 0.009716 0.032235 0.093750 0.261907 0.686178 1.655691 3.946771
2025-08-24 0.008946 0.030873 0.092762 0.266830 0.717226 1.769187 4.304730
2025-08-31 0.007718 0.027836 0.086712 0.257610 0.712259 1.799947 4.478967
2025-09-07 0.007181 0.026888 0.086362 0.263655 0.746464 1.925009 4.880840
2025-09-14 0.006562 0.025532 0.084612 0.265571 0.770195 2.027342 5.238480